Poll stories: Development matters, there is a Modi wave, Left and AAP will fade away

There are several intertwined stories that are likely to make this Indian election the most historical ever. My forecasts, based on various opinion polls that have come out over the last three months, are presented below. But as the saying goes, none of them is responsible for my errors. There are five major results disguised as forecasts. First, that there is a Modi wave, an explosion that will take the NDA comfortably above the 272 mark.

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