Congress’s dangerous communal game: Will it cause a Hindu backlash?

Posted on June 29, 2011 by G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, under Politics

The recent ‘Mood of the Nation’ poll by this website has revealed that the Congress party is perceived to be utterly corrupt by all sections of the electorate, the lone exception being that of Muslims. (Read the Poll here) [...]

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Trust gone, UPA's defeat in next poll is inevitable

Posted on June 18, 2011 by G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, under Elections

In the life cycle of elected governments, a time comes when the public support decisively swings from one of enjoying inherent trust to one in which people have lost implicit trust. [...]

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Hindus voting strategically? An analysis of the Hindu vote in Kerala and Assam

Posted on June 03, 2011 by G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, under Politics

The commonly held notion is that caste based voting is common among Hindus but not bloc voting as a community, while Muslims tend to vote as a monolithic group. Media reports and our field reports suggest that Hindus have indeed voted as a bloc and tactically in recent state elections in Kerala and Assam. In the post-Ayodhya Rathyatra era, this is a discernible trend in voting patterns of Hindus and has significant portents for the future. What is more significant is the fact that this tactical voting and reverse mobilsation of Hindus was observed in a state like Kerala, a state associated with high levels of literacy and social development and hardly a candidate for consolidation of Hindu votes along religious lines. [...]

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Verdict 2011: Southern discomfort for the Congress

Posted on June 03, 2011 by G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, under Elections

The outcome of the 2011 elections will largely be interpreted as a decisive vote against the corruption and family rule of the DMK, a vote for change in West Bengal, but overall a reprieve for the scam struck Congress party which has retained Assam and wrested Kerala from the Left Democratic Front. A major insight that might however be missed is the signal from the present round of elections that the Congress party is headed for major reverses in the electorally crucial southern states that had given a rich harvest of seats for the Congress party and its allies in the 2004 and 2009 Lok Sabha elections. [...]

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Lens Blogs

 G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, -G.V.L. Narasimha Rao, 45, is a leading election analyst and a political commentator.


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